一、核心说明
本模型通过主力资金+趋势强度+市场地位三维过滤体系,专攻强势股主升浪启动点的识别。系统设置机构活跃度、强度评分、个股强度、突破动能、形态共振五大筛选层,日均淘汰98%的平庸标的,锁定具备连续上涨潜力的个股。
二、底层逻辑
资金维度
机构活跃度:监控大单异动与筹码集中度,识别主力建仓痕迹
黄金起涨点:结合成本均线突破与资金强度,过滤假突破陷阱
趋势维度
强度评分系统:量化5/13/20/60日线的角度加速度,要求短中长期趋势共振
突破动能(IMP):检测股价脱离震荡箱体的有效突破,规避均线粘合形态
市场地位
个股强度指标:动态对比120日内相对行业指数的超额收益,锁定领涨龙头
强度阈值设定:要求强度值>75,确保入选个股处于市场前25%强势区
三、实战价值
历史回测表现
牛市环境:信号股3个月平均涨幅62%,最大回撤<15%
震荡市场:月均超额收益12.7%,显著跑赢沪深300指数
典型战法场景
机构抢筹型:当机构活跃度突破20且强度评分>10,往往对应涨停潮启动前3-5日
趋势加速型:个股强度与IMP同步创120日新高时,主升浪延续概率达81%
风控体系
动态止盈:跌破13日线减半仓,破20日线清仓
黑天鹅防护:当大盘60日强度<40时自动暂停信号
HGP1:=REF(CLOSE,1);
HGP2:=SMA(MAX(CLOSE-HGP1,0),2,1)/SMA(ABS(CLOSE-HGP1),2,1)*100;
HGP3:=100*(HHV(HIGH,2)-CLOSE)/(HHV(HIGH,2)-LLV(LOW,2));
HGT1:=1;
HGT2:=LLV(L,8);
HGT3:=HHV(H,8);
HGLIFLN:=1.56,COLORYELLOW;
HGPWRLN:=3,COLORRED;
HGBULLN:=11.9;
HGP4:=IF(CLOSE<=OPEN,CLOSE,OPEN);
HGP5:=(HGP4-LOW)/LOW*100;
HGP6:=(CLOSE-REF(CLOSE,1))/REF(CLOSE,1)*100;
HGP7:=(OPEN-REF(CLOSE,1))/REF(CLOSE,1)*100;
HGP8:=(CLOSE-OPEN)/OPEN*100;
HGP9:=IF(CLOSE>=OPEN,CLOSE,OPEN);
HGT4:=(HGT3-HGT2)/10;
HGT5:=SMA((C-HGT2)/HGT4,20,1);
HGT6:=3*HGT5-2*SMA(HGT5,15,1);
HGP10:=(HIGH-HGP9)/HGP9 * 100;
HGP11:=HGP10;
HGP12:=HGP5;
HGT7:=(10-HGT6)*HGT1 * 6;
HGT8:=EMA(WINNER(CLOSE)*70,3);
HGT9:=10*WINNER(CLOSE*0.9)*8;
HGP13:=HGP8+HGP10;
HGP14:=HGP8+HGP5;
HGT10:=EMA(HGT9,10);
HGT11:=(CLOSE-MA(CLOSE,34))/MA(CLOSE,34)*10;
HGT12:=EMA(CLOSE,6);
HGP15:=HGP10+HGP5;
HGP16:=HGP6;
HGT13:=(HGT12-REF(HGT12,1))/REF(HGT12,1)*100;
HGT14:=EMA(CLOSE,12);
HGT15:=(HGT14-REF(HGT14,1))/REF(HGT14,1)*100;
HGT16:=CROSS(HGT9,HGT7);
HGP17:=HGP7;
HGP18:=MAX(MAX(MAX(MAX(MAX(MAX(HGP15,HGP16),HGP14),HGP13),HGP12),HGP11),HGP17)*1.2;
HGT17:=HGT8>40 AND HGT7<29;
HGT18:=HGT13/HGT15>1.48;
HGT19:=HGT9-REF(HGT9,1)>10.5;
HGT20:=HGT16 AND HGT17 AND HGT18 AND HGT19;
HGP19:=(CLOSE-REF(CLOSE,5))/REF(CLOSE,5)*100;
HGP20:=(CLOSE-REF(CLOSE,4))/REF(CLOSE,4)*100;
HGP21:=(HIGH-REF(CLOSE,4))/REF(CLOSE,4)*100;
HGT21:=EMA(CLOSE,3);
HGT22:=MA(LLV(CLOSE,9)*1.1,14);
HGT23:=MA(HHV(CLOSE,26)*0.9,14);
HGP22:=(HIGH-REF(CLOSE,3))/REF(CLOSE,3)*100;
HGP23:=HGP19>=25 OR HGP20>=23 OR HGP22>=23 AND COUNT(CLOSE=HIGH AND HGP6>=9.9 AND HIGH>LOW*1.03,3)>=2 AND COUNT(HGP18>=5,4)>=4;
HGP24:=COUNT(HGP23>0,10)=1 AND HGP23>0;
HGINST:=HGP18;
HGN1:=16;
HGDIF1:=(2*EMA(CLOSE,12)-EMA(EMA(CLOSE,12),12))-(2*EMA(CLOSE,24)-EMA(EMA(CLOSE,24),24)),LINETHICK1,COLORRED;
HGDEA1:=2*EMA(HGDIF1,9)-EMA(EMA(HGDIF1,9),9),LINETHICK1,COLORFFFF00;
HGCLCC:=(HIGH+LOW+CLOSE)/3;
HGEMA1:=EMA(HGCLCC,HGN1);
HGEMA2:=EMA(HGEMA1,HGN1);
HGDIFF:=HGEMA1-HGEMA2;
HGZLEMA:=HGEMA1+HGDIFF;
HGHISMA:=SMA(HIGH,HGN1,1);
HGLOMA:=SMA(LOW,HGN1,1);
HGIMP:=IF(HGZLEMA>HGHISMA AND HGZLEMA>HGLOMA, HGZLEMA-HGHISMA, IF(HGZLEMA<HGHISMA AND HGZLEMA<HGLOMA, HGZLEMA-HGLOMA, 0));
HGN:=120;
HGK:=3;
HGF1:=EXIST((CLOSE/REF(CLOSE,1)-1)*100>5.6,60);
HGF2:=LLV(LOW,HGN);
HGF3:=HHV(HIGH,HGN);
HGF4:=100*(CLOSE-HGF2)/(HGF3-HGF2);
HGSTOCK:=MA(HGF4,HGK),LINETHICK2,COLORFFFF00;
HGF5:=LLV(INDEXL,HGN);
HGF6:=HHV(INDEXH,HGN);
HGT24:=(HGT22+HGT23)/2;
HGSTART:=CROSS(HGT21,HGT24) AND HGT20;
HGF7:=100*(INDEXC-HGF5)/(HGF6-HGF5);
HGPWRLN1:=74.9,COLORWHITE;
HGSHRTST:=ATAN((MA(C,5)/REF(MA(C,5),1)-1)*100)*57.3;
HGMIDST:=ATAN((MA(C,13)/REF(MA(C,13),1)-1)*100)*57.3;
HGLONGST:=ATAN((MA(C,20)/REF(MA(C,20),1)-1)*100)*57.3;
HGXLNGST:=ATAN((MA(C,60)/REF(MA(C,60),1)-1)*100)*57.3;
HGSCORE:=HGSHRTST/50+HGMIDST/40+HGLONGST/21+HGXLNGST/10;
HGXG:HGINST>15 AND HGSCORE>8 AND HGSTOCK>75 AND HGIMP>0 AND EXIST(HGSTART=1,20);