MACD的精华就8个字:买小卖小,缩头缩脚。小指的是,红绿柱的堆而言,缩头缩脚是指红绿柱的长短而言。当股价一波比一波高时,反而红柱的堆,一堆比一堆小,证明产生了顶背离现象,应该及时卖出;当股价一波比一波低时,反而绿柱的堆一堆比一堆小,证明产生了底背离,应该买进。买点在绿堆小时,一根比一根短买进,也就是说缩脚时买进。当红堆小时,红柱一根比一根短时,叫缩头,卖出。
MACD实战与攻略
MACD指标,在众多技术指标中处于领衔地位。在证券的分析与买卖中,若能正确、适当地运用该项技术指标,而不是生搬硬套,确实能给我们以很大的帮助,从而是令我们的判断更为正确,操作更有信心。
理论上讲,MACD柱线由绿翻红时可买入股票。若能将该指标灵活运用,打个提前量,将买入时间略为提前一些,则效果更佳,但前提是在一轮较大的跌势后。我们如果准备建仓,就要密切注意MACD柱线的动向。买入时机选定在MACD绿柱开始缩短,逐渐向0轴靠近时,而不必等到MACD柱线由绿转红。
同理MACD柱线由红翻绿时可以卖出股票。像买入一样,同样可以打提前量,效果也是不错的,当然前提是在一轮大的涨势之后。此时,我们准备卖出股票是理所当然的。时机可选择在MACD红柱开始缩短后的几个交易日里。
虽然说MACD指标是众多技术指标中比较重要的一个,但如果光凭MACD指标决定买卖,有时难免也会出差错。所以,在实战时,一定要结合其它指标如KDJ,OBV,CCI及移动平均线等综合考虑。最后要提醒投资者的是,要重视技术指标,但不能轻信技术指标,更不能迷信技术指标。在许多情况下,成交量的大小和量价配合是否合理比技术指标更为重要,更能揭示未来股价和股指的走向。
这里的“大”和“小”是指MACD中的大绿柱,小绿柱,和大红柱,小红柱。而在操作时图中的DIF和MACD两条白色和黄色的曲线,一般是视而不见的,我们只注重红绿柱的变化。“大红”之后是“小红”,“大绿”之后是“小绿”。
当一波气势汹汹的下跌,或一波气势如虹的上涨开始时,我们首先应避其锐气,保持观望。也就是说,当经历一波下跌后,当股票处于最低价时,此时MACD上显现的是一波“大绿柱”。我们首先不应考虑进场,而应等其第一波反弹过后(出现红柱),第二次再探底时,在MACD中出现了“小绿柱”(绿柱明显比前面的大绿柱要小),且当小绿柱走平或收缩时,这时就意味着下跌力度衰竭,此时为最佳买点,这就是所谓的买小(即买在小绿柱上)。
显现上涨也同样。当第一波拉升起来时(MACD上显现为大红柱)我们都不应考虑出货,而应等其第一波回调过后,第二次再冲高时,当MACD上显现出“小红柱”(红柱比前面的大红柱明显要小)此时意味着上涨动力不足,这时我们方考虑离场出货。这就是所谓的卖小。
也就是说,当市场“一鼓作气”时,无论是上涨还是下跌,我们都应保持观望;当市场“再而衰”时,我们方考虑进场或减仓;当“三而竭”时,我们应重仓追涨,或者杀跌出货.当然也可将此方法用在分时系统里来进行买卖的。
综上所述,此方法的口诀即为:买小卖小(买在小绿柱,卖在小红柱),前大后小(即前面是大绿柱或大红柱,后面往往为小绿柱或小红柱)
DRAWGBK(1,RGB(0,0,0),RGB(0,0,0),0,'448',0);
DRAWGBK(C>0, RGB(0,0,20),RGB(00,00,00),0,'0',1);
N:=5;M1:=10;M2:=20;
牛熊线:(EMA(CLOSE,30)+EMA(CLOSE,72))/2,LINETHICK2,COLORRED;
DRAWTEXT(ISLASTBAR,牛熊线,'牛熊线'),COLORRED;
M5:MA(CLOSE,N),COLORWHITE,LINETHICK0;
M10:MA(CLOSE,M1),COLORYELLOW;
M20:MA(CLOSE,M2),COLORFF00FF;
VAR1:=IF(CLOSE>OPEN,CLOSE,OPEN);
VAR2:=MEMA(CLOSE,5);
VAR3:=ATAN((VAR2/REF(VAR2,1)-1)*100);
VAR4:=IF(VAR3>0,VAR3,VAR3);
VAR5:=(CLOSE/REF(CLOSE,1)-1)*100;
VAR6:=VAR5<1.5 AND VAR5>-1.5;
强势:IF(VAR4>=REF(VAR4,1) AND VAR4>=0,M10,DRAWNULL),COLORRED,LINETHICK4;
整理:IF(VAR4<REF(VAR4,1) AND VAR4>0,M10,DRAWNULL),COLORGREEN,LINETHICK4;
A1:=REF(H,8)=HHV(H,2*8+1);
B1:=FILTER(A1,8);
C1:=BACKSET(B1,8+1);
D1:=FILTER(C1,8);{高点}
R11:=BACKSET(ISLASTBAR,BARSLAST(D1)+1); S11:=R11>REF(R11,1);
DRAWLINE(D1,H,S11,H,1),COLORWHITE;
A2:=REF(L,8)=LLV(L,2*8+1);
B2:=FILTER(A2,8);
C2:=BACKSET(B2,8+1);
D2:=FILTER(C2,8);{低点}
AA05:=MA(C,5),COLOR0099CC;
五日乖离率:=(C-AA05)/AA05*100;
BB05:=ATAN((AA05/REF(AA05,1)-1)*100)*180/3.1416;
速度5:=SMA(EMA((AA05-REF(AA05,1))/REF(AA05,1),3)*100,3,1);
加速度5:EMA((速度5-REF(速度5,1)),3),NODRAW;
AA10:=MA(C,10);
AA20:=MA(C,20);BB10:=ATAN((AA10/REF(AA10,1)-1)*100)*180/3.1416;
AA30:=MA(C,30);
三拾日乖离率:=(C-AA30)/AA30*100;
VAR11:=(AA20-AA30)>REF((AA20-AA30),1)
AND AA20>REF(AA20,1) AND AA30>REF(AA30,1);
VAR22:=(AA30-AA20)<REF((AA30-AA20),1) AND AA20<REF(AA20,1) AND
AA30<REF(AA30,1);
BB30:=ATAN((AA30/REF(AA30,1)-1)*100)*180/3.1416;
强势狙击:=FILTER(BB30>30 AND BB10>45 AND
CROSS(BB05,60),10);
加仓:=FILTER(COUNT(CROSS(BB05,30),5)>=1 AND
AA05>REF(AA05,1) AND 三拾日乖离率>REF(三拾日乖离率,1) AND
AA10>REF(AA10,1)
AND 加速度5>REF(加速度5,1) AND 速度5>REF(速度5,1) ,10) ;
清仓:=FILTER(COUNT(CROSS(30,BB05),5)>=1 AND (C>AA30 OR O>AA30) AND
AA05<REF(AA05,1) AND 三拾日乖离率<REF(三拾日乖离率,1) AND
AA10<REF(AA10,1),10);
DRAWICON(加仓 ,LOW*0.99,23);
DRAWICON(清仓 ,HIGH*1.01,15);
DRAWICON(强势狙击 ,LOW*0.99,13);
HH0:=HHV(H,N);
LL0:=LLV(L,N);
MM0:=CONST((HH0+LL0)*0.5);
S01:=CONST(IF(REF(C,N-15)>MM0,1.00,-0.04));
S02:=CONST(IF(REF(C,N-15)>MM0,-1,1));
S1:=IF(FINDSTR(EXTERNSTR(0,13),'万元'),S01+(0.04*S02),S01);
S2:=IF(FINDSTR(EXTERNSTR(0,12),'。'),S1+(0.04*S02),S1);
S3:=IF(FINDSTR(EXTERNSTR(0,8),'公告'),S2+(0.04*S02),S2);
S4:=IF(FINDSTR(EXTERNSTR(0,10),','),S3+(0.04*S02),S3);
S5:=IF(FINDSTR(EXTERNSTR(0,15),'-'),S4+(0.04*S02),S4);
S6:=IF(FINDSTR(EXTERNSTR(0,1),','),S5+(0.04*S02),S5);
S7:=IF(FINDSTR(EXTERNSTR(0,14),'-'),S6+(0.04*S02),S6);
S8:=IF(FINDSTR(EXTERNSTR(0,11),'-'),S7+(0.04*S02),S7);
S9:=IF(FINDSTR(EXTERNSTR(0,9),'-'),S8+(0.04*S02),S8);
M:=13;
M3:MA(CLOSE,3),COLORRED,LINETHICK;
M13:MA(CLOSE,13),COLORRED,LINETHICK;
M34:MA(CLOSE,34),COLORRED,LINETHICK;
X:=BARSLAST(REF(CROSS(C,MA(C,120)),1)) AND CROSS(MA(C,20),MA(C,120));
IF(M34<REF(M34,1),M34,DRAWNULL),COLORGREEN,LINETHICK;
STICKLINE(M3>=M13 AND M34>=REF(M34,1) ,H ,L ,0.1 ,0 ),COLORRED;
STICKLINE(M3>=M13 AND M34>=REF(M34,1) AND C>=O ,O ,C ,3 ,1 ),COLORRED;
STICKLINE(M3>=M13 AND M34>=REF(M34,1) AND C<O ,O ,C ,3 ,0 ),COLORRED;
STICKLINE(M3<M13 AND M34>=REF(M34,1) ,H ,L ,0.1 ,0 ),COLORYELLOW;
STICKLINE(M3<M13 AND M34>=REF(M34,1) AND C>=O ,O ,C ,3 ,1 ),COLORYELLOW;
STICKLINE(M3<M13 AND M34>=REF(M34,1) AND C<O ,O ,C ,3 ,0 ),COLORYELLOW;
STICKLINE(M3<M13 AND M34<REF(M34,1) ,H ,L ,0.1 ,0 ),COLORGREEN;
STICKLINE(M3<M13 AND M34<REF(M34,1) AND C>=O ,O ,C ,3 ,1 ),COLORGREEN;
STICKLINE(M3<M13 AND M34<REF(M34,1) AND C<O ,O ,C ,3 ,0 ),COLORGREEN;
STICKLINE(M3>=M13 AND M34<REF(M34,1) ,H ,L ,0.1 ,0 ),COLORMAGENTA;
STICKLINE(M3>=M13 AND M34<REF(M34,1) AND C>=O ,O ,C ,3 ,1 ),COLORMAGENTA;
STICKLINE(M3>=M13 AND M34<REF(M34,1) AND C<O ,O ,C ,3 ,0 ),COLORMAGENTA;
STICKLINE(ISLASTBAR,HHV(C,5),HHV(C,5),218,1)COLORRED;
STICKLINE(ISLASTBAR,HHV(C,5)*0.95,HHV(C,5)*0.95,218,1)COLORRED;
Z1:=STRCAT(HYBLOCK,' ');
Z2:=STRCAT(Z1,DYBLOCK);
Z3:=STRCAT(Z2,' ');
DRAWTEXT_FIX(ISLASTBAR,1,1.1,8,STRCAT(Z3,GNBLOCK)),COLORFFFF80;
DRAWTEXT_FIX(1,0.8,0.8,0,'★ 筹码峰 ★'),COLORRED;
DRAWNUMBER_FIX(1,0.9,0.8,0,CONST(WINNER(C)*100));
AA:=(REF(CLOSE,1)+REF(CLOSE,2)+OPEN)/3;
DRAWTEXT_FIX(CURRBARSCOUNT=1,0.9,0.9,1,'《 今日保护价 》'),LINETHICK2,COLOR00FFFF;
DRAWNUMBER_FIX(CURRBARSCOUNT=1,0.95,0.9,1,AA),COLORRED;
DRAWTEXT_FIX(CURRBARSCOUNT=1,0.96,0.9,0,'元');
线断走人:IF(ZIG(MA((H+L)/2,3),3)>REF(ZIG(MA((H+L)/2,3),3),1),ZIG(MA((H+L)/2,3),3),DRAWNULL),COLORYELLOW,LINETHICK2;
DRAWTEXT_FIX(1,0.32,2,0,'黄色断◆ 线断走人出局 ◆'),COLORYELLOW;
DRAWRECTREL(0,480,205,589,RGB(10,1,30));
资金流入:=SUM(IF(C>REF(C,1),V,0),FROMOPEN),NODRAW;
资金流出:=-SUM(IF(C<REF(C,1),V,0),FROMOPEN),NODRAW;
资金出入:=资金流入+资金流出,NODRAW;
DRAWBAND(资金出入,RGB(150,0,150),0,RGB(0,100,0)),NODRAW;
资金流量:资金出入,NODRAW;
资金比:资金出入/SUM(V,FROMOPEN)*100,NODRAW;
资金流量比:=IF(资金比>=0,(资金比+100)/2,100-ABS((资金比-100)/2)),NODRAW;
攻击量:=((HSL*0.50+REF(HSL,1)*0.33)+(REF(HSL,2)*0.17))*SUM(C,FROMOPEN)/FROMOPEN,NODRAW;
攻击量A:=SUM(IF(C>REF(C,1),攻击量*V,0),FROMOPEN),NODRAW;
攻击量B:=-SUM(IF(C<REF(C,1),攻击量*V,0),FROMOPEN),NODRAW;
攻击流量:攻击量A+攻击量B,NODRAW;
NOTEXT攻击线:攻击流量,NODRAW;
攻击比:攻击流量/SUM(V,FROMOPEN)*100,COLORRED,NODRAW;
资金攻击度:=IF(攻击比>=0,(攻击比+50),100-ABS((攻击比-50)));
{STICKLINE(资金流量A>0,资金流量A,0,1,0),COLOR0000FF;
STICKLINE(资金流量B<0,资金流量B,0,1,0),COLORFF0000;};
DRAWRECTREL(20,570,180,540,RGB(0,75,200));
DRAWRECTREL(20,570,30,540,RGB(0,250,50));
DRAWRECTREL(20,570,15+CONST(资金流量比*150/100),540,RGB(200,50,0));
DRAWTEXT_FIX(1,0.0,0.5,0,STRCAT(STRCAT(' 【资金流量比】',CON2STR(资金流量比,2)),'%买')),COLORYELLOW;
DRAWTEXT_FIX(1,5.0,0.9,0,EXTERNSTR(0,5))COLOR0000FF;
DRAWTEXT_FIX(1,0.0,0.2,0,EXTERNSTR(0,5))COLOR0000FF;
DRAWTEXT_FIX(C>0,0.004,0.11,0,STRCAT('智能诊股:',EXTERNSTR(0,2))),COLORFFFF00,LINETHICK2;